🏆 (SIGN UP FOR A DISCOUNT ON TIA PREMIUM BEFORE THE PRICE INCREASE) Free Crypto & Economic Report Emailed To You:
🔥 TIA Premium! Trading Courses & Exclusive Community
****************************************************************
LIMITED TIME – 16th May 2023 – FREE $230 USDT with ByBit & Bitget (No Trading Required):
🟠 Bitget Free $8,725 (US + Global Users NO-KYC)
▶ New Users: KYC & Deposit $100 or more to get 10% Cashback (up to $200 cashback in USDT)
🟠 ByBit Free $30,030 + 0% Maker Fees
▶ New Users: KYC & Deposit $100 or more to get $30 USDT bonus plus 0% maker fees for the first 30 days.
****************************************************************
UP TO $38,755 FREE! Crypto Exchanges
🥇 ByBit Free $30,030 + 0% Maker Fees:
🥈 Bitget Free $8,725 (US + Global Users NO-KYC)
🇦🇺 Swyftx, Best Australian Crypto Exchange, Limited Time $20 Free BTC
▶ My Official Socials ◀
YouTube
Instagram
Twitter
▶ My Must-Have Crypto Resources ◀
👾 Free TIA Community Discord:
📈 TIA Gann Swing Indicator
🏆 TIA PREMIUM MEMBERS, Trading Courses & Exclusive Community
🐂 TRADINGVIEW ($30 Off)
🔐 LEDGER (Limted Time $30 Free BTC)
👨🏫 KOINLY (20% Off)
This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product or service. All trading involves risk. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. #crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews
Markets are showing a very fascinating Signal at the moment and this only Happens when one side of the market Capitulates and it seems like they are Capitulating now now more than ever they Are capitulating in a much bigger way so What is it that I'm talking about that We are seeing on bitcoin we're seeing on The s p and this particular cycle Happens in every single market so no Matter what you get out of this video You can apply it to every single market Around the world because humans make up The market and humans have a funny way Of doing the same thing time and time Again and not learning from the past so Let's smash up that like button and Learn from the previous video that Subscribing to the channel helps us Remember our words but also helps us Remember the past so we can forecast What's going on in the future also top Of the video description is our sign up Discount for Tia premium before our Price increase traces this is the only Place on the internet that you get Everything in the investment space Brought to you stocks cryptos real Estate Cycles so you can make an Informed decision for your investment Portfolios funds whatever it is that you Do more on this later but first let's Have a look at what is this signal that Continues to come up in all of these
Markets time and time again and we just Do not learn from it so I want to start With the news headlines First Republic Bank is taken over by FDIC and sold to JPMorgan in third major bank failure of The Year first up here is the headline Of third major bank failure these are The things that catch people's Attentions thinking that this thing is Way bigger than it actually is Whereas the smart money is showing us That it is not so this is the headline That we just had first of May less than 24 hours ago and for the S P 500 it Basically closed absolutely flat this is The bar 0.04 of a movement in that day and we'll Look at it on the Futures Market as well But essentially we had absolutely no Movement in the market after we had this Third largest bank failure yes it has Already been told and now we're getting The news that is being sold off and JPMorgan is taking on board here is a Visual representation of the size of Bank failures frb so First Republic Bank And svb this was the previous one the Silicon Valley Bank two of the largest Bank failures in American history but What they don't tell you is that there Is more money in the system I guess we Do know that but it is going to be the One of the biggest failures because There is more money in the system it's
Absolutely ridiculous to get feared over These sort of headlines and we know that The smart money is not getting feared Because they have done absolutely Nothing to the markets on bad news and What we're getting to is what this bad News means in the market when we can see The prices drop less and less and less Some of you might know what it is that I'm talking about already Going to the banks themselves their Total assets these are basically nothing Burgers our First Republic Bank 229 Billion Silicon Valley Bank 209 billion Of course for the people that have their Money in the bank yes it is not a Nothing Burger we're not talking about That we are here putting our emotions to The side looking at this as investors Not as morons on the Internet or on Twitter getting all hyped up about the Sticky interest rate Rises or the Looming recession this is absolute Garbage what we have to look at is the Data and the facts and piecing that Together with an investment plan of Course looking at the banks themselves Total assets here we can see that JP Morgan biggest bank here just above Bank Of America 3.8 trillion dollars three trillion for Bank of America 2.4 trillion 1.9 Trillion 1.5 1.1 half a trillion half a Trillion half a trillion and where do
These two Banks slot into this list all The way down here number 18 and if you Slot the other one in here at 229 Somewhere there at about 160 at number 16. so call it 19 call it 16 just inside The top 20. but if you add up all the Totals and then slot in where these Other two banks are it's basically a Nothing Burger compared to the entire System which is probably why it hasn't Done anything to the market so we had That first collapse here in March that Was the first one and it was a whole big Fiasco that this is just the start of The banking collapse and the rest of the System must collapse since that point Markets have pumped around the world Some going into new all-time highs and Now that we see another bank for First Republic Bank collapse the move to the Downside has become less and now the News of the bank being sold off is Basically not even a move to the Downside we just continue to put in Higher and higher low so this is a great Sign for the Bulls and that leads me to What we are probably probably currently In a start of a bull market this is Phase one of the bull market and if you Have been following the channel you know That we often reference a wall of worry These markets over time go up and Throughout the bear markets especially At the beginnings of the Twist from the
Transition from the bear to the bull You're going to get way more negative Noise negative news at the beginnings Because that is just what people are Wanting to hear so what we got at the Beginning of many of these Cycles 2009 You had the global financial crisis so The collapse and then the market started To recover and put in higher and higher Lows there was a lot of terrible Terrible news I remember some of this Myself especially looking through this Sort of mid or early 2010 11 12 13 there Was a lot of talk of the Greek default And Greece leaving the EU and this was Going to collapse Germany which is the Biggest country in Europe Europe and Then collapse the entire Euro system but It didn't and the markets have gone up What is the wall of worry wall of worry Basically happens throughout bull Markets and you notice it on a chart It's climbing the wall of warrior There's a lot of worry going around in The markets and you can notice it on a Chart because the moves to the downside Become less and less depending on which Time frame you're looking at in this Case we have the daily but we look at Each of the bear markets and there is a Lot of bad news to say that this time we Must collapse to the Lower Side Eventually we will things will reset and We start to go again but this is not the
Time at the moment because in particular As we can start to read the new cycles And the News narratives we are getting Not much push to the downside on all of This bad news if you scale this out and And take a look at where March was this Was that March move here this was svb Collapsing this was First Republic Bank You can barely squeeze a line into it Right now and now we're getting higher And higher into that 50 level basically Testing to try and break out of the 41 To 4200 level as I mentioned in the Intro this happens in all markets across The world and it happens generally at The extremes and the extreme could be The exact low or the exact top or it can Be the transitional period the US dollar Is a perfect perfect example of this as We've covered it throughout the entire Move to the peak to the trough and again Recently as this huge bad news comes up For the US dollar so we saw the peak Lots of great news for the US dollar in September 2022 telling us that Everything else is about to collapse and To buy the US dollar whereas now we're Seeing the opposite we're seeing that The US dollar is collapsing major Countries are leaving the US dollar time To sell guess what we've been covering This for weeks now saying that this is Most likely a bottom and we need to test A few of the upside levels this is in
The shorter term days to weeks and we'll Probably expect this to roll over in the Coming months to years but for now the News was so bad that it seemed like we Had to get low in the market to start to Push this higher so this is just a Reminder of the stuff that we cover here On the channel as many Analysts and whatnot tend to forget the Past relatively quickly now for the NASDAQ this is the same sort of thing That we're seeing here a rise to higher Prices and it continues to put in higher Lows on a pretty long-term uptrend so This trend comes from the GFC low to the First higher low on a macro time frame Here looking at the monthly chart this Has not been breached month any month Closed below it yet eventually it will Happen but just note if we start to get Too far away from this trend line it's Probably likely we're going to have a Bit of a pullback and come back and test That line at the moment moment we're Starting to get a little bit past this Trend line for now for the NASDAQ Doesn't mean we can't push higher and Then start to go sideways and test it But essentially we are going up on bad News and this has been the entire bull Market which of course we've looked at As being that wall of worry all the bad News coming in yet the markets continued To increase now we have more big news
Headlines coming up this week of course We have the federal funds rate now They're looking to increase It Again by A quarter of a percent and this of Course leads to all of the other news Saying that we must collapse eventually The old sticky interest rates sticky Inflation looming recession you name it There is some sort of narrative given to Us to tell us why the markets Must Fall But this one I just want to bring up Because we've had a very similar move in The markets before in 2003 into the peak Of 2007 interest rates increased they Went flat for a while and then started To collapse the peak of the stock Markets was around October so the second Half of the year but interest rates went Flat for a period of time then started To fall and then the markets started to Collapse so although I'm in a bullish Camp here looking at the data itself we Could eventually top out and go sideways For a bit eventually we will get that Collapse and this is what everyone is Waiting for now when in fact there has Been times in history where interest Rates have increased rather Significantly For their time as well and prices all Went up during that period as well Here's 2004 2005 2006 plateaued the Markets kept going up into 2007 real Estate Plateau 2006 eventually six to 12
Months later we get that turn in Interest rates and then the market Started to fall down so this is probably Going to happen over the coming years But we still have a bull market in Between that uh then and now so I've Looked a lot at the market sentiment and Trying to understand news Cycles here Especially when it comes to the wall of Worry and the information that we're Presented with when it comes to Headlines and how big things are but When you actually compare it to what's Out there in the market currently it's Not so much of a big deal which is why We are seeing the smart money To say that it's not a big deal they're Putting in higher lows and pushing the Prices higher but now I want to have a Look at some of the data the statistics Themselves when it comes to what has Happened in the past giving us some Averages what can we expect in the next 12 months based on this and then also Look at how this is affecting Bitcoin And what we can expect for BTC so in Terms of the s p the performance here After a down April but what have we Actually seen in April itself we've seen A an up month in April here so we go to S p look at the monthly statistics here And April has turned out to be an up Month so there's a lot of data here so We can start to scrap some of this we
Don't need the down month anymore we can Just look at the positive aprils and we Have two different areas here we have May and we have the May October period Which was from yesterday's video as well Looking at the selling may go away Basically looking at a six-month period Not just daily periods okay so then we Look at the the positive uh seven times Out of ten we have had a positive May to October period May to December 76 Percent of the time so it increased so We're looking forward seven out of 10 Times even seven and a half out of ten Times we've had a positive next six to Eight months of the year based on this Data going back to 1950 if April was Positive and we know for sure that April Was a positive eight out of ten times The entire year was positive so eight Out of ten times the entire year was Positive after you had a positive April What was the median move up for the Entire year 15 May to December 7 May to October 4 the average 7.3 13.1 so then you can look at all the Years but we're focused on this one here Because we've had a positive April year So this lay it on top of the wall of Worry starts to show you that it is just A wall of War everything that's getting Thrown at us at the moment is basically A wall of worry yes there are going to Be headlines that come out or dates that
The market is waiting for which brings Volatility for the short term maybe the Hours to the days but in the longer term If you start to have a broader picture Of the market then you can start to see That the statistics are well and truly On our side for 2023 to be a positive Year and typically if the s p NASDAQ the Major markets are positive then BTC is Also positive so how has the wall of Warrior affected Bitcoin well we've been Covering this for many months now Looking at the FTX collapse and random Thursdays silvergate svb you can see That these in hindsight now or at the Time as we looked at them on the day These look like very bad periods but now If you haven't seen it in hindsight they Look like absolutely amazing periods to Be buying Bitcoin and so we see that Again we've got the f r c so First Republic Bank collapse right here Basically hasn't done too much of the Market and the market is now still in a Trading range between 30k and 27k yes Yesterday was a four percent drop but we Haven't taken out any of these lows and We still have plenty of pretty solid Support levels beneath us even if this Market does continue to fall nonetheless The wall of warri means we are going to See more bad news come out and the Market most likely not react as strongly As all the previous times as it has done
In the market and that is a sign of the First stage of a bull market these are All signs of sellers capitulating Because we're seeing less and less Downside on what seemingly is bad news It's a sign that there are less sellers In the market and they're they're Basically selling off at the wrong times Or it's a combination of sellers selling At the wrong time and smart money Testing the supply to the downside is There going to be more Supply that comes In at these lower prices and should These move use to the downside become Further extended that's going to be a Signal that maybe this is actually in Fact a bear Market rally and we should See further downside so we still need to Be open to both sides of the market is This Market going to collapse is it a Bull market right now we're definitely Seeing the signs of a first stage in a Bull market and this is the typical Stuff that we go through in detail with Our members so as I mentioned in the Beginning of the video there is a Discount on TIA premium before the price Increases there is a ton of content here To get through to plan out your Investment and trading strategies before This next bull market really kicks off And in future videos I want to go Through some more ideas around where we Currently sit in Bitcoin how much time
We have left at these lower Prices compared to the upside move in The market as well but if you are Interested in that I would strongly Suggest checking that out now Link in The top of the video description and That'll get you started on the right Journey before we get to those higher Prices and the market basically gets Into these extreme euphoric stages when There are all of the retail buyers just Frothing over every last cent of the Move to the upside as a little Traders Tip here we will be watching the move to The downside that has happened in February to March as that's basically One of the major first higher swing Bottoms for Bitcoin so this move to the Dam so I was about 22.5 but more Importantly it was five thousand seven Hundred dollars so if we move that to The top here at thirty one thousand Dollars we wouldn't want to see this Thing go too far below around 23.9 or 24 000 because this would then be a Balanced correction so there's really Nothing to worry about to the downside Unless we started to break down from 24 Consolidate under these levels Wicks are Okay but you don't want to see the Market consolidate under these levels Because that would then mean we would Have to flip to a bearish midterm Scenario before we could then look to
Any further upside to test those higher Prices again so for now we have a very Clear view of what we're looking for for The Bulls to maintain strength here for Any of this sort of downside action if We're even able to get there and break 27 000 nonetheless this is a pretty Clear area that the market can remain Bullish Remains the support remain in The market before we start to mount Another attack to the upside for BTC That's all I got for this video a like And subscribe links top of the video Description as per usual I've got more Coming up with some more macro stuff on BTC so don't go anywhere and I'll see You back here at the next video thanks Once again guys much appreciated until Next time peace out