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In this video we discuss why retail investors keep losing in the SP500, Bitcoin, Crypto, Nasdaq, after interest rate announcements.
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Well the US has done it once again this Time raising interest rates to five to Five point two five percent this week Australia also raised their interest Rates to 3.85 so you can bet your bottom Dollar the next bearish narrative is Going to be a Fed pivot we're starting To hear rumors of the FED pausing their Interest rate hikes so this will bring On more bearishness and just prolong the Narrative to the second half of 2023. Now if you have been a subscriber which I suggest you do hitting that button Down below and the like button we have a Ton of content on the macro cycle Bitcoin cryptos and the real estate Cycle which is essentially the macro Cycle this is your only place on the Internet that studies the past to Forecast the future in amongst all of The noise bringing together everything In the market not just stocks not just Crypto and not just real estate but all Of the Cycles together while you're Clicking that like button with the Fireworks May actually check out the Links in the top of the video Description for our Tia membership this Is where you can learn how to prepare Yourself and how to navigate the markets As we continue to head up before a very Major collapse in the coming years so Going back to what's happened overnight With the interest rate Rises I wanted to
Lay this out on a chart so we can get a Clear picture of what is going on some Real objective data so that we can avoid The noise moving forward and learn how To navigate the markets and understand What is potentially coming next for These markets so if you hadn't heard the Noise all the news we should say Basically interest rates have gone up But it looks like the FED is potentially Signaling a potential end to the hikes So we have the FED raises raids opens Door to pause in the tightening cycle Again and again and again we hear this And the majority of commentators or Analysts will just continue to play on This as it's a good topic to raise fear In the markets but if we go back just a Minute here to some previous posts I had On Twitter Just Looking Back to December Of 2022 around the bottoms when there Was far more fear than there is now I Had a few unpopular opinions here as I Bring the screen up to be a little Bigger first S P 500 is bottoming Remember what price this was at this was In December through these areas here When the s p was at 3 800 before the Banking crisis low the other thing we Looked at was Europe will not freeze This winter this was a huge fear that Was sometime early mid 2022 these sort Of things come and go so I want to make Emphasis to this as to how the dumb
Money continues to get trapped by those In the know smart money long-term Investors anything like that the dumb Money always gets trapped by a lot of These fearful calls and you see it all Across the internet The other thing here is real estate is Not going to crash in 2023 it didn't Crash in 2022 didn't crash in almost the First half of 2023 and we're seeing Signs in some areas of real estate Actually creeping up again it did have To have a pullback that must happen in Any Market it's a healthy correction Because we went up a huge percentage Amounts during 2021 and late stage of 2020 so it has to have a correction but We have not seen any sort of Crash Whatsoever across the board second half Of 2022 so last year and the first half Which we're currently now are buying Opportunities this was said Remember on The 22nd of December so where were we we Were all the way back here at around 16 And a half thousand dollars for BTC and The middle of December here we were at About 38 3900 points on the s p 500. Bitcoin is Bitcoin is bottoming so I Called that then and then most crypto Are terrible DCA Investments we know Them as terrible DCA Investments that's An easy one because over the long term Five ten years 99.99 aren't going to Make it that's an easy one I'll give it
To anyone that also gets that but Bitcoin is bottoming remember all the People that were saying this had to go Much much lower sure it could win a Little lower but basically this was the Bottoming pattern all the way back from June which the interest rates have also Shown us all the fear around those Interest rates So what I want to look at next is how Much money was left on the table more so Let's have a look at how much money you Could have made just looking at some Simple interest rate announcement news So March was the first time that the Interest rates were increased then we Had the may increase the June July September November December February March and again in May so this happens Every six weeks in the US for us in Australia it happens once a month the First Tuesday of every month so this is What has played out so these are the Dates here that we're going to use for The s p and Bitcoin if you can't tell Already the red arrows are the interest Rate announcement days and you can start To see already in this pattern that Hadley just bought on those Announcements it's volatile but the fear In the market if you remember back to That there is a lot of fear in the Market around these decisions that said The market should have collapsed because
No one can afford their problem these People are going to be left homeless They're not going to be able to afford To pay their bills it's all these Narratives that we have to remember Which is why I always come back to Remember to study the past remember that And then you can start to forecast the Future because Or or less even the macro analysts in Big companies most of us are pretty well Done we don't study the past and don't Understand what is coming up so these Are the dates that we had the interest Rate announcements on now look at this In terms of the news as well each of These dates that we can see here from March to May to June July September and So on They weren't at the exact low we don't Need them to be at the exact low but They have been pretty good opportunities If we were just looking at buying on Those dates what does it look like in Terms of numbers I think this is pretty Staggering itself March a rough figure Here around 42 so I'm rounding It Up 4 200 points May was at 4 100 points so Basically on the 50 level then we go to June 3700 we go to July 39 we go to September 38 this is at the missed Opportunity line here then we take a Look at October so right in here just Before before we had that next little
Dip down into November that was another Opportunity at 3 800 points moving Forward to December around 4 000 here so It was a little lower but we're rounding It up just to give us a nice round Number easy to do some quick maths on uh February was the January 31st to February 1st all the way up here at Around 4 000 points before the market Just took off for those next couple of Days then we had March 3 900 we Obviously had the banking crisis at 3 800 which I've called here as a missed Opportunity the prices are probably not Going to go below 3 800 for the s p if They do would be a very quick Wick and Then closing above those levels Uh that was the March level here at Around 39 and then may it brings us to Today at 41 and see where the price is Currently so the total of this 39.5 000 The average because there was 10 Opportunities here one two three four Five six seven eight nine ten is 3950. Today's price 4100 It's a profit of about 3.8 percent Meanwhile this has been one of the most Fearful times that we can recall going All the way back to the pandemic in 2020 So this was one of the most fearful the Most fearful time we've had a very Fearful time at the moment but there are Still profits to be made and listening To the noise the news will always keep
People poor and just forget the past so By no means is this some sort of trading Plan but it's just something interesting That I've found by having a look at These particular dates and seeing how Bad the fear was of last year if there Was any way to make money from these Particular dates and from the data you Can see that there was a small profit Here 3.8 percent just buying on some Really basic news so how does this look For BTC well this one's also quite Interesting as well going back to the Dates here in March And then may and so forth you can see Each of the periods you can start to see A pretty good pattern where there was a Lot of lows forming and the idea around Looking at the interest rates and how The news had told us and what the Mainstream belief is with retail Investors where they say that the Markets have to fall after this point That there is still more to come you can Really start to see that a lot of it is Probably already priced in after the First couple of raid announcements so we Had the March we had the May by the time We got to June it was all over the rest Of it has been priced in and some may Say I'm calling this prematurely because We haven't pushed up far enough that is A fair judgment as well but from the Analysis I've done and many others have
And the hours and hours of content here On the channel I'm more than likely sure That this is the low and that this Banking crisis low will not get taken Out as well so we can look back to the s P just briefly where you can see the Interest rate announced and where they Came out in the market basically once The market got to June with that third Interest rate increase it was all over The rest of them have basically been Priced in we have gone up every single Time since June the Fed In June was at 1.75 we are now at 5.25 and the market Is higher than where it was in June go Figure now you probably want to see what These numbers were for Bitcoin they're Even better than the s p but so they Should be because Bitcoin moves more Than the s p so we can see all the Prices here uh rounded up more or less Through the purchasing times of the Interest rate announcements total here 257 000 of course that's if you're Buying one Bitcoin every time if you Don't you buy a tenth whatever do the Maths right the average is now 25 700 per BTC today it's 29 000. see it Right there 29 900 and uh sorry twenty One thousand and ninety nine so profit Is 8.8 sure we could have made 100 from the Low to the height but remember what
Happened at the lows a lot of people Gave me a ton of hate for this Particular post looking at the low Probably being again then they give a Lot more hate for missing any sort of Opportunity under 22 because they Believed it was going to go to 12 or 10 Or 3 000 dollars not going to happen Underneath 19 and a half most likely not Going to happen either so any sort of Moves under these levels I think are Going to be great opportunities but I Think overall they're probably missed Opportunities you can see just from These news items that come out have been A good time just to be buying on those Dips not saying it's a plan overall but It's just an interesting way to have a Look at the market especially when the News and the noise is telling us that we Should have further collapses so how do We make money from these markets well We're in the first stage of a bull Market this is not a bull market that is Going to go to new all-time highs next Week like what we saw in late 2020 and 2021 it's the first stage of a bull Market a bull market that needs to swing Between the Bulls and the Bears a little More until the Bears get destroyed and Then they have to flip bullish you can See a lot of the Bears really trying to Hang on to their narrative and just Pulling it any sort of strings
And so what happens in the psychology of The dumb money the retail these are the Terminology used in the industry I know So people don't like the term dumb money So be it what happens is Market is too High you get this idea that the Market's Going up too much then it gets a Correction a good time to buy if you Understand what stage of the cycle You're in and it's saying and most People say Market is going lower so in No way am I saying buy now 29k it's Never going to go lower that's absolute Nonsense but in any of these major dips Not just daily dips but the major dips Where we can see them come in on support The dumb money always says the market is Going lower and they wait and wait and Wait and so even if they bought it 28 And it dropped to 27 they would shoot Themselves thinking I could have waited And bought lower that is a Fool's game And you're always going to lose doing That so then they wait for the pullback The market starts to move up that's what Happens next we get that push up the Market continues to climb which is what We see on the S P 500 so you can see in Each of these occasions markets gone up And then it pulls back and they say it's Going to go lower but it doesn't Market Pushes up again it's going to go lower Because of the banking crisis because There's more Banks going to collapse and
This means we should go lower over the Long term and then it goes up again and They say well interest rates are going Up this can't last much longer it Doesn't go lower then they say there's Going to be a Fed pivot and then Something always breaks and it should go Lower it's the same thing over and over Again so the market goes too high it Repeats waiting until things settle down You know the mindset changes and they Wait and wait and wait Market's going Lower wait until things settle down Waiting on the pullback Market's too High and so this is how the Bears get Crushed that's exactly how the Psychology happens so if you feel Yourself in this situation Get a trading book out get some sort of Journal and write down your thoughts Every single day this is not the sexiest Video to be making telling you that Bitcoin's going to go up to new all-time Highs or that it has to collapse and This is the best time to be buying but It will make you feel the best being in Control of your finances so hopefully That has given you a little more than The typical video that tells you all Only or bear only put you in control Which is exactly what we do at the Investor accelerator it puts our Traders And investors in control of their own Money and doesn't allow the noise to
Affect them that is the biggest part of Trading and investing of course having Your own plan but the trading psychology Comes into it more so than anything else Check out the link in the top of the Video description like And subscribe Share this with a friend who might be Going through some sort of painful Experience in the market help them out Once you've shared it with a friend Check out our Channel sponsors big get And buy bit big USD signup bonuses with No trading required but they also have Other big sign up bonuses with trading Required as well swiftex also has twenty Dollars of free BTC going on link is Down there so I'll see you guys at the Next video so glad that you got Something from that let me know in the Comments section what you found most Valuable I'd love to put more of these Sort of trading tips in the videos as Well until next time take care and peace Out